Forecast
Project spend from today's run-rate. Move the sliders; every contract renewal and decision flows through.
Assumptions
Historical CAGR FY2022–FY2025: 17.0% · volatility 12.4%
3%
13.6%
Volume and scope growth above inflation.
3 yrs
12.4%
Defaults to historical volatility.
Nominal growth17.0%
(1 + inflation) × (1 + real) − 1
FY2026 landing estimate
$10.4M
−1.7% vs AOP
FY2029 forecast
$17.6M
$12.5M – $23.7M
Renewal uplift exposure
$567K
Vendor increases due in horizon
Method accuracy (backtest)
14.6%
Mean absolute error, last 2 years
Actual, plan and forecast
How good were past plans? (AOP vs Actual)
| Year | AOP | Actual | Variance |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | $6.21M | $6.31M | 1.6% |
| FY2023 | $8.09M | $8.31M | 2.8% |
| FY2024 | $9.22M | $9.24M | 0.2% |
| FY2025 | $9.94M | $10.1M | 1.6% |
Positive variance = overspend. Backtest: predicting each year from prior CAGR was off by 18.5% (FY2024), 10.7% (FY2025).
Saved plans
0No plans saved yet. Adjust the sliders and press Save as plan; it is signed and audited.
Contract-level forecast
| Contract | Dept | Run-rate (12m) | FY2027 forecast | Uplift | Ends | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Northbeam Cloud Cloud hosting | IT | $2,255,242 | $2,797,142 | 6.0% | 2026-12-31● | undecided |
Harbor Facilities Facilities management | Operations | $1,286,377 | $1,505,164 | 3.5% | 2028-12-31● | undecided |
Lumen Media Agency of record | Marketing | $1,285,946 | $1,504,660 | 5.0% | 2027-01-31● | undecided |
Meridian Consulting Advisory retainer | Finance | $903,861 | $1,110,469 | 5.0% | 2026-10-31● | undecided |
Kestrel Security Endpoint security | IT | $751,719 | $879,571 | 9.0% | 2027-03-31● | undecided |
Ledgerline ERP support | Finance | $728,053 | $851,880 | 4.0% | 2027-06-30● | undecided |
Atlas Telecom WAN connectivity | Operations | $522,173 | $610,984 | 3.0% | 2027-12-31● | undecided |
Clausewise Legal panel | Legal | $479,068 | $560,548 | 4.0% | 2027-12-31● | undecided |
PeopleGrid HRIS subscription | HR | $457,043 | $534,777 | 6.0% | 2027-08-31● | undecided |
Kestrel Security SOC monitoring | IT | $383,145 | $448,310 | 8.0% | 2027-06-30● | undecided |
Brightdesk Service desk | IT | $376,680 | $471,598 | 7.0% | 2026-12-15● | undecided |
Signalform Marketing automation | Marketing | $334,497 | $391,388 | 6.0% | 2028-01-31● | undecided |
Datavault Backup & DR | IT | $277,974 | $325,252 | 8.0% | 2027-01-15● | undecided |
Quarry Analytics BI platform | Finance | $209,903 | $262,796 | 7.0% | 2026-12-31● | undecided |
Pinecrest Print Print services | Operations | $99,485 | $116,405 | 3.0% | 2027-02-28● | undecided |
Atlas Telecom Mobile fleet | Operations | $40,383 | $48,669 | 3.0% | 2025-12-31● | undecided |